South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e13b0542d04471d975c00e0d5a04b7bda882d9d4f569bf511dc40f0b4a50e0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 50c | 49,420$24,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,709.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 26,579$13,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,405.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 5,256$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 3,396$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,236$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 2,343$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 1,949$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,281$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 46c | 1,234$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.86 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 64c | 1,073$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 900$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.37 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 33c | 612.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 571.06$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 550$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 542.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over | 76c | 448.75$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 448.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Over | 72c | 376.39$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 325.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 248.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 29c | 170.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 34c | 155.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c01…a338backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 46c | 138.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 124.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 75c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 52c | 95.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 18c | 71.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 61.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…e9cbbacked Under | 21c | 57.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…244dbacked Under | 26c | 56.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…6fbdbacked Under | 20c | 52.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…8870backed Under | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 40c | 43.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 35c | 42.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 56c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…3a4abacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…68a6backed Under | 50c | 26.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.