South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191f81ac6f946d31c7940226989113d6aa5f70dac2f621a16a75650cec1dbc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,844$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 2,535$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Over | 1c | 1,874$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 965.04$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over | 44c | 663.56$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 34c | 638.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 30c | 600$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 50c | 598.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 592.93$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 52c | 330.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Over | 35c | 286.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 268$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 52c | 266.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 259.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 45c | 229.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 58c | 220.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…f51bbacked Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 153.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 43c | 133.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 42c | 111.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 51c | 99.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Under | 59c | 92.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Under | 48c | 85.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 35c | 72.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Over | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 28c | 60.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 35c | 40.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over | 43c | 38.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 31.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Over | 50c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…41c3backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 48c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 52c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.