Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65e8b4c307397e4243034c81e7f26c5c916e861a134e52be32e06847eee40d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 40c | 120,387$48,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,235.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 60c | 81,659$48,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,995.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 60c | 12,221$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,332.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 10,585$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.78 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…569dbacked Yes | 40c | 9,733$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 60c | 7,320$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 6,857$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.53 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 43c | 6,447$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.92 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 4,932$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.99 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,954$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 59c | 2,900$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 60c | 2,281$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.39 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,220$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.16 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 60c | 1,633$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,475$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.81 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 42c | 1,418$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.61 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,012$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.81 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 40c | 921.67$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 56c | 882.56$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 56c | 857.55$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 62c | 810$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 57c | 701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed No | 60c | 590.55$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 47c | 564.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 40c | 511.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No | 61c | 510.11$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 60c | 492$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 58c | 481.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed No | 60c | 480$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 60c | 422.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 400$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 61c | 328$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 303.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked No | 60c | 273.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 271.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…c181backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 41c | 244.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 43c | 212.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…7efebacked Yes | 71c | 173.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 60c | 165.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 44c | 150.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 138.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 124.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 60c | 111.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…04d2backed No | 61c | 95.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 95.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 41c | 94.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 55c | 88.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 87.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 46c | 86.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…e9a4backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 60c | 81.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked No | 61c | 79.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 60c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 62c | 64.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 40c | 61.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked No | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…79a9backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 48.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 61c | 47.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed No | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed No | 60c | 39.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.