Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b850d68a5420bac95b0b3cbd59680df2c09e8ca1b6a774ed2b619f22ad07fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 11,003$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.06 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 10,825$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 33c | 3,636$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,311$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 31c | 2,999$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 1,191$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 34c | 937.13$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 32c | 799.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…a684backed Yes | 35c | 774$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 617$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 30c | 530.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 33c | 427.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 421.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 66c | 410.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 32c | 349.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…1b11backed Yes | 35c | 271$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 213.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 8c | 199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 36c | 193.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 178.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 164.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 66c | 162.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 131.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Yes | 35c | 109.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 30c | 103.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 83.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 32c | 63.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…ac5dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…9770backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…7edfbacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…68dabacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 23.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.