Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e0e5f58bf93f83216f72594f66c9def137e568bcc4b3b2df058239a55cdda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,576$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 407.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 70c | 316.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 19c | 226.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 170.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 74c | 169$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 74c | 121$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 89.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked No | 75c | 42.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 69c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…9371backed No | 76c | 17.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.