Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb820a5677a7755b58c258a690dc816f3af460e486a7a0589536f91194119fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 39c | 201,796$78,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,210.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 61c | 138,152$84,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,272.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 61c | 69,953$42,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,671.33 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,400 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 29,180$17,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,897.13 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 61c | 11,116$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 10,841$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.56 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 38c | 7,464$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.94 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 6,454$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 46c | 4,300$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 3,523$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Yes | 38c | 3,518$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 3,099$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.92 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 0c | 3,013$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 62c | 2,660$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 63c | 2,387$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 63c | 1,380$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 61c | 1,320$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 67c | 1,193$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 39c | 1,137$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 62c | 1,042$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.97 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 965.12$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.47 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 39c | 781.74$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 665$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 574.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 39c | 572.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.37 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 62c | 522$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 67c | 500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 498.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 455.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed No | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 433.79$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked No | 62c | 418.41$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 339.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 32c | 282.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…dc0cbacked No | 62c | 253.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked No | 62c | 253.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 43c | 235.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 32c | 228.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 50c | 213.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 62c | 193$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 179.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 61c | 176.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f447backed No | 66c | 173.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 62c | 157.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 34c | 144.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 62c | 137.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 134.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 40c | 124.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked No | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed No | 61c | 119.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 62c | 101.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 64c | 99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…2970backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…d269backed No | 62c | 80.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked No | 62c | 78.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 51c | 77.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 62c | 67.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…c243backed No | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 39c | 63.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.