TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes50c133,917$66,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,780.142759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef9…2d16backed No51c17,000$8,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes49c11,946$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.533244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7b…7cf8backed No49c6,199$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8922…12e9backed No49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c5,205$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.225052%26 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b0…f1aebacked Yes51c5,200$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe067…9018backed Yes51c4,900$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa817…35a3backed Yes51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.2938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…5fbfbacked No49c3,300$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c2,743$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.583,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…1428backed Yes51c2,700$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No51c2,582$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No52c2,400$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1607335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No51c2,365$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.711650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e7…dd1dbacked No49c1,700$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.593246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No51c1,457$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.3510945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c1,032$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.111,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906726.9%18 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c857.84$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.461,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No50c804.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed No51c785.78$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No50c715.26$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No49c582.52$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0814254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed No51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes42c440.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1778248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No51c404$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked No54c371.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No51c348.8$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes49c339.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8325352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…4895backed No49c330$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c326.98$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2240744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca2…7e98backed Yes51c320$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x902b…2f6cbacked Yes51c310$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea2…8ed6backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes50c280.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0356951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes49c276.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.744749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes50c273.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7316652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No51c266.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.083259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes51c233.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8951136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004949%24 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009542.1%40 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No50c200.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3510128.7%29 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c198.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbc…b379backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes45c195.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes51c167.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.568939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No51c157$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9313142%55 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed No52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed No52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked No51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked No50c101.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Yes51c101.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6956…d189backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed No50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+50.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed No50c97.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.26560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+177%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No51c89.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed No51c83.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes51c82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2184…2aeabacked Yes43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No50c79.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked No52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9416750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No50c74.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2215742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked No50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No49c69.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.399345.2%42 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked No53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3376…3c7fbacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes36c59.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.316542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Yes50c57.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes49c56.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.413852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.