TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under58c232,711$134,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,953.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over42c200,000$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,0008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c6,442$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under55c4,002$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2016546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over43c3,209$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.118334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c3,122$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.7490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under76c2,809$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.6424147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under1c2,549$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.494845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over42c2,500$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c2,053$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.0764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c1,538$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.134,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over42c1,493$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.0523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over43c1,397$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.425658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under68c1,035$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over34c843.85$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.942055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over43c749.81$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.395038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over44c679.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.66238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.411037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under45c552.02$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.413151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under65c461.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.243050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over43c455.81$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under70c415.71$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over44c401.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5910245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over43c375$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over46c283.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.074843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under57c281.4$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over43c262.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7512925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over44c229.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c207.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.721,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under59c203.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11615250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Over43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8711448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Over34c142.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…614cbacked Over43c136.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over56c130.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.67844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over42c117.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Over44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5819153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5818551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c91.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5322553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c87.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0412744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00c…d086backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under60c85.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.419553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Under53c79.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c79.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.831,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under47c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.471540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c72.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7919258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over60c61.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.577573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.819152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.820054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.