La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646f991a47dc5d98c98e862b1f49b9d7f5b2b050bb5473530066b7940d4b7c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,193$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 69c | 658.8$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 338.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 45c | 328.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 305$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 294.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 79c | 192.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 185.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 70c | 158.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 26c | 130.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 67c | 125.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 69c | 119.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 75.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 70c | 73.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 34c | 72.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 67.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 75c | 66.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 32c | 64.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 72c | 55.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Over | 70c | 46.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 30c | 37.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 66c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 22.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 69c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 72c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 55c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 66c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.