La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a5594d26aba79c9eacbdef343cb5ba613d0f0ffc28042c195a40f3477be4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof RC Celta de Vigo, Valencia CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia CF | 74c | 3,871$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.14 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RC Celta de Vigo | 22c | 3,538$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.18 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,019$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.79 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Valencia CF | 77c | 545$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.65 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…8349backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 427.67$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Valencia CF | 27c | 375.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 71c | 278.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Valencia CF | 74c | 273.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Valencia CF | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Valencia CF | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Valencia CF | 75c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Valencia CF | 25c | 41.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Valencia CF | 78c | 27.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Valencia CF | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Valencia CF | 78c | 25.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.