La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd01f2c6fb15aa9cd15baab97f8b9574fdf28588bcaa0972a4ec9c54bf712d841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,105$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 39c | 511$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 452.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 387.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 51c | 350.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 36c | 349.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…ac50backed No | 52c | 344.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 49c | 303.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Yes | 49c | 250.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 50c | 206.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 65c | 85.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 46c | 35.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…eda0backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed No | 54c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.