TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.968940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c26,362$13,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,703.011,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c12,693$6,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over51c9,549$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,839.654852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c9,443$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.8853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c9,373$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.7590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c3,530$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.278957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over23c3,007$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.232227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c3,002$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.7664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c2,946$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.8523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Over57c2,647$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under47c2,178$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.781952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over55c2,154$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.734961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c1,867$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.1269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under49c1,500$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7708650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over54c1,390$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.473847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over55c1,345$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9913551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under49c840.82$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over53c834.43$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.55038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c745$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8515851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c678.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under74c635$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c627.27$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.293,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c576$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c565.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over58c530.64$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7712044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over66c458.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.674639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over48c414.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over29c345.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c334.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over52c325.96$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.520452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Over52c302.03$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.062548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c299.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.621,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under67c298.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under49c281.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c219$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0220441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Over48c207.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c177.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under60c158.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under47c115.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under47c114.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6112744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c113.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c111.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c104.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over21c103$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.887573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Over46c102$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.922161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c97.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…2ba7backed Under46c94.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over19c92.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.35345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c89.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over51c82.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3112156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34c0…db10backed Under75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.410351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over51c56.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4812727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over59c45.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over26c44.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4819544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.