La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe186ca1f3b9ff226895ffd69cf765f64aefb71c6d45d8c337ab23c9f86b10aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,193$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 51c | 957.84$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.84 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 796.76$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…0c86backed Yes | 32c | 313.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 306.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 56c | 290.61$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 266.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 31c | 176.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 43c | 151.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 99.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 57c | 85.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 59c | 39.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 35.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…bcdfbacked Yes | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed No | 73c | 18.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.