La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab8785562a821c625ec4ac472849dead87c596ea2a9c886fa0739db18b3b44ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Club Atlético de Madrid, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 5,834$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 3,771$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.27 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 2,466$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.53 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 1,540$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 1,370$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 1,229$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 978.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 792.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 689.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 571.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 441.97$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 380.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 212.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 121.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 113.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 100.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 97.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 96.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 45.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.