TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Bearcatsof Iowa State Cyclones, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c351,259$189,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,583.1435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Iowa State Cyclones46c198,142$91,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,145.158246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Iowa State Cyclones46c150,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats52c53,680$28,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,639.971,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Iowa State Cyclones48c44,727$21,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,468.911921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c26,867$13,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,465.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Iowa State Cyclones51c25,235$12,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,988.6312754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Iowa State Cyclones47c19,717$9,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,267.0589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Iowa State Cyclones52c15,320$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats48c13,323$6,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,906.864,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c9,145$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Iowa State Cyclones48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.992030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c5,110$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.1215453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c4,518$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.5915556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c4,149$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.651,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa State Cyclones50c3,965$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.12,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Iowa State Cyclones49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Iowa State Cyclones48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c2,313$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.0860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Iowa State Cyclones48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9609856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cincinnati Bearcats49c1,613$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.662,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Iowa State Cyclones52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats48c1,161$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.412,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Iowa State Cyclones50c1,038$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.673941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Iowa State Cyclones50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Iowa State Cyclones47c791.3$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c750$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Iowa State Cyclones46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3458351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State Cyclones23c732.71$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c606.7$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.582,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Iowa State Cyclones50c567.39$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2911946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats53c524$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c411.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec0…87f3backed Iowa State Cyclones49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Iowa State Cyclones45c388.38$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3818046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c382.7$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.721050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Cincinnati Bearcats49c374$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.435050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c285.26$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4842339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats52c269.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.497353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa State Cyclones47c258.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.571,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Iowa State Cyclones47c202.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.026065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Iowa State Cyclones49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Iowa State Cyclones48c197.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.893240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c147$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5145644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats51c121.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.419555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Iowa State Cyclones47c120.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7918646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c104.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.791,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Iowa State Cyclones41c104.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3617546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Iowa State Cyclones49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010536.2%38 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Iowa State Cyclones45c80.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9215844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Iowa State Cyclones48c76.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8d…fdeebacked Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f58…f645backed Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2a…59abbacked Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5c…54ffbacked Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…a2dcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.055100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ee…37ffbacked Cincinnati Bearcats78c63.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b6…da83backed Cincinnati Bearcats80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e35…19c6backed Cincinnati Bearcats80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca8…613ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Iowa State Cyclones50c60.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x376a…4384backed Cincinnati Bearcats80c55.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Iowa State Cyclones46c52.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0512341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Iowa State Cyclones48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Iowa State Cyclones49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cd…e8d7backed Iowa State Cyclones50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2221746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cincinnati Bearcats40c35.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Cincinnati Bearcats53c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612572%18 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad01…6f40backed Iowa State Cyclones49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143030%9 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats52c28.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…3a4abacked Iowa State Cyclones48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Iowa State Cyclones48c22.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…80cbbacked Iowa State Cyclones51c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.