TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Bearcatsof Iowa State Cyclones, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,096,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,349,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Iowa State Cyclones54c700,770$381,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,8472138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c349,387$157,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,009.2169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Cincinnati Bearcats46c200,000$92,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,0009652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats51c37,033$19,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,019.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8007237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c12,222$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,722.13154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c10,850$4,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,11414940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cincinnati Bearcats49c9,337$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.8527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Bearcats47c9,157$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.481,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats46c7,707$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.992,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c7,000$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6757965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Iowa State Cyclones19c6,355$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.3946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c6,064$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.715556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State Cyclones32c5,830$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.462,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c5,793$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.0121248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c4,744$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37219050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Iowa State Cyclones66c4,281$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cincinnati Bearcats30c3,363$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.4319950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Cincinnati Bearcats31c3,096$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.0821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Iowa State Cyclones69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State Cyclones50c2,911$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.251,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c2,911$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.482,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa State Cyclones73c2,829$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.232,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Cincinnati Bearcats47c2,663$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Cincinnati Bearcats47c2,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3158747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State Cyclones70c1,967$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats41c1,886$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.944,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Bearcats46c1,874$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Iowa State Cyclones29c1,735$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Iowa State Cyclones57c1,406$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats29c1,295$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.451,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Cincinnati Bearcats46c1,280$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.335459.3%32 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c1,200$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85213735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c1,141$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.194757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Iowa State Cyclones70c1,050$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.711,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Iowa State Cyclones56c981.04$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.625831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed Cincinnati Bearcats43c931.01$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats46c855$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.76144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c740.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.5752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Iowa State Cyclones15c737.87$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.322050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Iowa State Cyclones9c707.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.035339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c662.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.932,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Iowa State Cyclones72c614.81$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Iowa State Cyclones65c613.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Bearcats30c602.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.971,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Iowa State Cyclones16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats45c574.03$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.271,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Iowa State Cyclones26c570.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…db0dbacked Iowa State Cyclones55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats42c548.06$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.835,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Cincinnati Bearcats35c505.57$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2413840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Iowa State Cyclones41c503.25$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats43c489.34$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae59…c97fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats54c456.3$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa State Cyclones70c430.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.581,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c425.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4318046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c402.39$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.212,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Iowa State Cyclones23c357.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.741,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats24c354.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cincinnati Bearcats63c352.93$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c344.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3912733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed Iowa State Cyclones65c323.26$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.864257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c257$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Iowa State Cyclones75c240$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c236$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3818851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Iowa State Cyclones50c222.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9519238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Iowa State Cyclones10c203$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats24c200$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa State Cyclones74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Cincinnati Bearcats43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c175.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Iowa State Cyclones48c162.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Cincinnati Bearcats32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2517950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c155.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.261844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c145.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.143,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Iowa State Cyclones20c136.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Iowa State Cyclones23c132.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Iowa State Cyclones43c128.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aba…5aeebacked Iowa State Cyclones48c127.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c125.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4953635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6045953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Cincinnati Bearcats45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Iowa State Cyclones72c119.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3920254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats47c118$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1617546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Iowa State Cyclones69c117$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.237272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Iowa State Cyclones43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats54c115.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…acc7backed Iowa State Cyclones19c105.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c105.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4518646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Iowa State Cyclones52c104.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats45c102.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.456144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…8080backed Iowa State Cyclones20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c4…e040backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b3…70c5backed Cincinnati Bearcats40c99.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c92.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1115844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Iowa State Cyclones19c92.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c91.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0719332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.