La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab35d14853e9deb2cb801ae382516e61f4f56d35b60131867982c36393817251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 41c | 130,445$53,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,682.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 59c | 94,542$55,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,779.65 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 58c | 30,000$17,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,450 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 59c | 8,581$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 3,815$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 57c | 3,300$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 41c | 2,280$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.23 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 59c | 945.41$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 885.33$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.11 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Over | 54c | 833.72$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 783.07$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.23 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 58c | 606.64$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Over | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 349.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 28c | 172.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 57c | 159.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 59c | 159.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 66c | 154.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 34c | 116.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 107.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 55c | 105.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 58c | 96.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 55c | 94.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Over | 61c | 91.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 41c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 58c | 74.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 29c | 58.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 58c | 55.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Over | 59c | 50.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Under | 41c | 49.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 43.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…0d5abacked Over | 58c | 39.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Over | 61c | 36.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…c19dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 59c | 28.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…3a4abacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Under | 52c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Over | 61c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 74c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.