Token Launches · resolved market
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f40f7319cd35af656935a9c812f4cb447d373cd399b6101ebb004e27a0b69a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $744,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4268…0169backed No | 30c | 103,289$30,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,789.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…0b7bbacked Yes | 70c | 57,143$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,142.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 71c | 49,931$35,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,663.81 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 2c | 16,880$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 24c | 15,281$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.82 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…13d7backed No | 11c | 14,408$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked No | 0c | 14,225$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 0c | 11,661$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…cd83backed Yes | 69c | 9,750$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…aa9ebacked No | 31c | 9,750$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 76c | 9,549$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 9,152$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.19 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 71c | 9,141$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.92 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 10c | 9,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…a1f0backed Yes | 63c | 7,878$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 14c | 6,997$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.19 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1b…92f7backed No | 15c | 6,827$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,830$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…051cbacked Yes | 75c | 4,615$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…3fb2backed Yes | 66c | 4,192$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 37c | 3,900$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 3,143$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed No | 32c | 3,070$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cfd8backed No | 0c | 2,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 11c | 2,357$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,293$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 23c | 2,158$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.7 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,005$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…ddfbbacked No | 20c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…5f55backed Yes | 69c | 1,946$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.37 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…84e5backed No | 16c | 1,935$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7823…cd90backed No | 1c | 1,868$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 59c | 1,835$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.93 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 21c | 1,826$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.47 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…fa4fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,799$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebc…97e6backed Yes | 70c | 1,783$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…6227backed Yes | 70c | 1,749$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…6365backed Yes | 70c | 1,737$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 25c | 1,700$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked No | 4c | 1,595$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed No | 32c | 1,578$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed No | 30c | 1,500$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…7aacbacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cf…b077backed Yes | 70c | 1,482$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 24c | 1,475$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…1ed2backed No | 12c | 1,470$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked No | 9c | 1,450$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 3c | 1,450$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed Yes | 80c | 1,435$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…bcbdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,330$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 1,209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked No | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 26c | 1,173$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 25c | 1,160$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…cf16backed Yes | 74c | 1,016$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked No | 9c | 1,001$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 24c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…9483backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 3c | 999.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…6a16backed Yes | 74c | 953.33$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 71c | 949.42$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 9c | 877.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 17c | 865.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Yes | 76c | 845.27$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 65c | 834.59$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 826.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked No | 43c | 802$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 43c | 762$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 76c | 750$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Yes | 76c | 745$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Yes | 76c | 745$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Yes | 76c | 745$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed Yes | 57c | 622$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 27c | 608.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 21c | 606.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +104%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 57c | 525$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…013ebacked No | 19c | 516.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 73c | 516.79$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 57c | 510$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…3a21backed No | 25c | 482.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…eae8backed No | 30c | 445.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 18c | 442.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 72c | 415.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 3c | 413.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Yes | 73c | 409.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.