TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUBY76c6,525$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.1563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd346…9999backed RUSTEC2c5,366$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+195.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY74c2,815$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed RUSTEC30c1,403$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RUSTEC17c1,356$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC25c1,250$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY53c1,183$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9718356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY60c1,051$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.912,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY71c1,049$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.214,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed RUSTEC43c1,039$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY60c1,025$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.714,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed RUSTEC1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked ex-RUBY78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x003b…ace5backed RUSTEC35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+73.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5812…7d11backed ex-RUBY77c930.85$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed RUSTEC19c889.05$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY73c883.82$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x885c…ce56backed ex-RUBY64c849.75$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed ex-RUBY59c788.51$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.812154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked RUSTEC37c674.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC34c656.06$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.271,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked RUSTEC16c646.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6160032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked RUSTEC44c624.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1045…a02fbacked RUSTEC4c566.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835f…5a4fbacked ex-RUBY64c557.08$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.837100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+94.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed ex-RUBY64c550$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.520750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC30c482.03$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.542,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RUSTEC34c436.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.493,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed RUSTEC13c420.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.581,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUBY58c382.46$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4635153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed RUSTEC30c337.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed RUSTEC31c318.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5440449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked ex-RUBY66c303.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RUSTEC17c300.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed RUSTEC7c252.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3766436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed ex-RUBY69c202.03$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6318054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked RUSTEC21c201.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.42,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed RUSTEC25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC28c193.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.74,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked RUSTEC29c191.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.163,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked RUSTEC22c190$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.764738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed RUSTEC14c190$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed RUSTEC11c172.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcd…25e8backed RUSTEC21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354136.6%15 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21de…506ebacked RUSTEC31c162.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a9e4backed RUSTEC42c156.05$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.093237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c7b…491cbacked RUSTEC11c148.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY72c138.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.851,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC23c137.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.354,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed ex-RUBY76c131.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.063056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked RUSTEC38c130.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY64c122.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.917,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked RUSTEC22c112.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked RUSTEC13c111.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed ex-RUBY56c105.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3839038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked ex-RUBY72c104.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8644675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked RUSTEC37c103$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4258745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked RUSTEC29c100.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3719342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…0a49backed RUSTEC20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked RUSTEC34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed RUSTEC30c95.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed ex-RUBY65c91.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.894440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…bf5cbacked ex-RUBY71c88.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.924860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x431c…a621backed RUSTEC20c79.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked RUSTEC17c78.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2718939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…744fbacked RUSTEC18c76.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked RUSTEC41c73.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked ex-RUBY70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed ex-RUBY67c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4319762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed RUSTEC35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked RUSTEC34c68.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.332,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC24c63.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed RUSTEC46c63.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913127.5%36 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed ex-RUBY63c59.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6922346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed ex-RUBY66c51.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8220067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed ex-RUBY63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.555749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18e…e00ebacked ex-RUBY64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed RUSTEC45c47.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4316829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY74c44.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.432,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed ex-RUBY59c43.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.911770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed ex-RUBY61c42.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6427248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed ex-RUBY71c42.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2223654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed ex-RUBY61c40.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.572958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked ex-RUBY50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5575…c56dbacked ex-RUBY58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.488460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed RUSTEC37c33.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.545742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed ex-RUBY60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3359354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee65…5067backed RUSTEC36c29.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed ex-RUBY69c29.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c4…9991backed RUSTEC45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0712155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked ex-RUBY56c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.230031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed ex-RUBY59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed ex-RUBY73c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.667164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked RUSTEC42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0834147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked ex-RUBY80c23.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed ex-RUBY77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0215157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c5…bf75backed ex-RUBY75c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.333275%24 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd7…0a43backed ex-RUBY64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.