CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c96cd6979dc957e2d27e69b6feb5fe4494f4d01ce26c03c817a7a8bd64d24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 2,032$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 1,761$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed RUSTEC | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 763.46$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RUSTEC | 27c | 611.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC | 24c | 533.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 47c | 532.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 345.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 325$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC | 39c | 281$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked RUSTEC | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed RUSTEC | 57c | 232.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 186.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 163.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 162.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 147.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 116.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked RUSTEC | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 93.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC | 27c | 87.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed RUSTEC | 32c | 84.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 78.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RUSTEC | 28c | 77.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RUSTEC | 38c | 61.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC | 27c | 54.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 53.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed RUSTEC | 27c | 51.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…6761backed RUSTEC | 41c | 47.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked RUSTEC | 41c | 46.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked RUSTEC | 41c | 45.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 32.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.