CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06127539fc3462b20b5c2ae740c800ee78e58ab748bca278109a1539a1f306c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof ex-RUBY, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a6…a3e0backed RUSTEC | 73c | 1,323$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 658.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 541.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 77c | 358.18$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 76c | 329.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked RUSTEC | 64c | 326.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 258.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 197.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 23c | 136.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed RUSTEC | 75c | 129.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 112.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 108.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 69.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 60.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 48.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 40.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RUSTEC | 66c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed RUSTEC | 68c | 36.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked RUSTEC | 66c | 31.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed RUSTEC | 71c | 23.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed RUSTEC | 77c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.