Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24437d58c64c5eedff9bcc1ab0a7bb7b3aaf89a2a6a4cd1ba5d2e4d9d48bebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fennelof Fennel, IGZIST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked IGZIST | 13c | 1,932$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked IGZIST | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed IGZIST | 12c | 628.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked IGZIST | 11c | 253.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…64fbbacked IGZIST | 25c | 198.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked IGZIST | 12c | 197.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed IGZIST | 12c | 138.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked IGZIST | 14c | 128.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed IGZIST | 10c | 123.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed IGZIST | 14c | 116.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked IGZIST | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed IGZIST | 13c | 81.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fennel | 78c | 81.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked IGZIST | 18c | 56.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…9dd3backed IGZIST | 35c | 53.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
- Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST - Map 1 WinnerFennel won
- Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST - Map 2 WinnerFennel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.