Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf99fe4ef7176555bc5520b549a46024489fe132f8a0fb3b8a25f964a881aadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 16c | 1,010$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 794.9$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 11c | 606.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 568.95$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 21c | 297.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 21c | 282.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 44c | 232.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 13c | 221.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 63c | 211.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 201.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 182.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 33c | 180.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 176.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 45c | 175.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 159.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 155$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 57c | 153.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 51c | 143.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 67c | 135.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 134.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 129.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 51c | 121.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 58c | 114.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 80c | 108.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…acc4backed Yes | 16c | 105.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 18c | 104.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed Yes | 19c | 101.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…ef8ebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 99.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 94.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 38c | 91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 18c | 90.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 85.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…c848backed Yes | 14c | 84.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 50c | 82.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 41c | 82.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 76.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 79c | 73.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 44c | 69.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 44c | 67.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 77c | 63.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 58.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 69c | 58.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 58.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 27c | 56.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 52.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 52.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 68c | 42.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…29e8backed Yes | 37c | 38.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 44c | 38.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 36.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 35.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 68c | 35.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 50c | 35.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 79c | 33.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 73c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 72c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 57c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 53c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 63c | 26.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 73c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…e627backed No | 72c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…44adbacked No | 77c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…34c4backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 292 | 81.5%238 W · 54 L | +27.9wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.