TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c43,952$24,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,400.346,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c30,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,199.8431947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c16,720$11,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,096.694,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c12,190$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5892,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c11,105$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,278.161,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes44c10,090$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.914134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No27c9,900$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,226.995527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes18c7,857$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0713727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No48c7,783$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes26c6,034$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.5149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes17c5,631$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.061,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c3,427$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.32,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c3,129$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.1956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes50c2,497$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.5728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes74c2,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aac…c78fbacked Yes67c1,965$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes26c1,878$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes43c1,855$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.854641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes17c1,452$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8411945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes15c1,372$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7420448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes70c1,333$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c1,228$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.761,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes17c1,200$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0223531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Yes66c1,136$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-79.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c1,100$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2630739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes40c1,077$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3440150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Yes17c859.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes44c857$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No62c854.21$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4215238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x646a…3dafbacked No69c800$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c765.11$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.231,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No37c755.75$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.461,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes22c634.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes17c597.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…3936backed Yes17c580.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c555.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No67c503.41$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2813249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+145.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes16c462.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.045034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes21c427.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No71c418.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3321965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No80c350.78$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.416053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes16c327.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.428740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes20c253.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes71c246$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7217744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c243.47$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes17c238$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4636845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes17c236.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes21c228.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefdc…1dd4backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes15c198.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes22c195.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4413941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No44c190.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes38c189.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes17c188.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e8…df6ebacked Yes17c182.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes17c178.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3318929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes22c167.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3729735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes17c166.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.234250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes18c158.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.018532.9%28 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ff…b97cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x546d…b6f4backed Yes7c146.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc380…d34abacked Yes17c143.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes12c141.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9821…f62ebacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes38c131.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.993164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+79.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes64c126.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8119654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Yes69c125.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…b6c4backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No54c113.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.983663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.819632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.111533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf35b…983bbacked Yes16c106.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176850%34 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes55c96.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6225949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010547.6%50 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158234.1%28 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.