Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4989faab577997e1828d92133d02a3a00c4e272a99c43a749c3a331edeefc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 17,222$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 49c | 9,980$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.2 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 7,971$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 53c | 7,739$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…18b0backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 5,804$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 5,738$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.64 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 3,648$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.76 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 2,308$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 53c | 2,238$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Yes | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 48c | 2,046$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.29 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 1,891$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.28 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,830$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 1,646$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.01 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed Yes | 53c | 1,491$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked No | 49c | 1,355$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 53c | 1,006$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 73c | 944$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 906.86$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 52c | 772.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 46c | 574.95$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 51c | 546.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 495.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.12 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 52c | 480.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed No | 49c | 429$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Yes | 52c | 416.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 47c | 416$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0c4abacked No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 51c | 393.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…5354backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 297.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9aeabacked Yes | 53c | 290$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 48c | 288.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 47c | 282.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 37c | 282.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 48c | 265.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 71c | 225.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 53c | 215.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 211.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 199.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 52c | 194.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes | 53c | 189.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 53c | 172.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 168.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed No | 63c | 158.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…4c48backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 43c | 145.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 49c | 116.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 48c | 113.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Yes | 53c | 102.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…51dfbacked Yes | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…d34abacked Yes | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…13fbbacked Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Yes | 53c | 89.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7556backed Yes | 51c | 81.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 52c | 80.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 66c | 75.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Aston Villa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.