Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108f7a109d7ef4925e25eee9f610241c392528a4ab680b2ffb03014c2c94219e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 29,967$17,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,022.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Over | 47c | 9,999$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.57 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 3,368$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 3,275$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.93 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 54c | 2,807$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.83 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 38c | 2,462$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 47c | 2,417$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 2,051$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,873$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.04 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,833$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.28 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 1,464$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.11 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 73c | 1,414$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 47c | 1,179$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 59c | 1,167$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.04 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 43c | 1,133$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.69 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,017$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.93 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.66 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 59c | 997.35$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.26 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Over | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 6c | 863.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 800.82$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 68c | 785.04$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 56c | 727$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 47c | 720.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 576.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.74 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 36c | 533.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 458.32$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 50c | 442.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 8c | 429.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 47c | 426.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 71c | 404$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 67c | 299.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 47c | 297.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Over | 48c | 291.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Over | 48c | 278.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 22c | 278.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 64c | 249.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 54c | 238.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Over | 45c | 235.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 47c | 235.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 60c | 228.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 225.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Over | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 51c | 217.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 47c | 213.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 212.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over | 46c | 204.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Over | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 55c | 197.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 65c | 191.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 189.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Over | 47c | 171.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 64c | 154.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Over | 44c | 152.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…0956backed Over | 42c | 145.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 47c | 136.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 48c | 124.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…105bbacked Over | 47c | 115.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 67c | 109.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 47c | 106.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…02afbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Aston Villa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.