Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c4f29db8cd478f2d842d5c67e16fc83fed67de13046267959bc4f1391ea980

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,463 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	30c	15,362$4,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,568.74	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	29c	8,943$2,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,581.25	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over	67c	8,588$5,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,876.35	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over	73c	8,026$5,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,189.38	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	33c	4,008$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.83	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	27c	3,484$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.2	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Over	73c	3,016$2,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.31	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over	73c	2,800$2,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	73c	2,719$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.14	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Under	27c	2,667$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	72c	2,457$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.96	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	27c	1,785$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.21	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Over	65c	1,714$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.99	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Over	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.47	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	37c	1,266$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.02	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	33c	1,050$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.12	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	34c	971.05$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.34	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over	64c	907$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.52	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over	55c	846.33$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.85	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over	66c	836.45$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.39	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over	71c	704.21$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.22	88	67%59 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	73c	684.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.93	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	34c	651.02$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.21	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0d…cce6backed Over	78c	638.71$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.52	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	33c	385.03$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.06	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	79c	378.16$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.16	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	74c	327.57$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.51	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	55c	327.27$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.27	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	64c	313.68$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.68	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Over	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under	28c	261.5$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.22	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over	73c	258$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.66	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed Over	73c	255.85$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.08	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e5…7d6abacked Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over	73c	213.1$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.54	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	74cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	29c	174.34$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.84	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7341…6fcfbacked Over	73c	156.88$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	138	42%58 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	73c	126.12$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.6wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x705c…4e11backed Over	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over	73c	82.19$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over	73c	80.82$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over	80c	80.65$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.13	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under	38c	80.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad7…f012backed Over	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	27c	74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c9…6538backed Over	74c	71.62$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Under	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e898backed Over	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5660…6cb7backed Over	73c	66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe6…c7a1backed Over	73c	65.75$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under	29c	63.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over	54c	55.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.74	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Over	73c	43.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Over	68c	41.18$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.18	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbf…98b6backed Over	73c	41.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	74cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe3…5470backed Over	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under	32c	35.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over	62c	31.42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.92	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under	36c	30.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x147a…cc62backed Over	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	72cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	80c	29.36$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.87	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Over	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4d…0e7fbacked Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb412…97dfbacked Over	80c	26.43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16b…0180backed Over	73c	25.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	73c	20.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08de…a0fdbacked Over	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over	73c	19.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac2…c41cbacked Over	73c	15.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	72c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc63a…e53abacked Over	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Over	70c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…bb3fbacked Over	73c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5this page
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Over won
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Aston Villa won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event