Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd1aa67e5ac3a124c1e1e42fa79b6be802342fc42109c45e2de83d9f31912a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed No | 3c | 554.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 506.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 450$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 430$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…d34abacked Yes | 65c | 296.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 38c | 284.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 35c | 246.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 23c | 236$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 63c | 165.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…7bbbbacked Yes | 63c | 40.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Yes | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.