TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under67c127,133$85,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over33c32,141$10,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,432.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over34c28,086$9,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,536.4630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over37c17,579$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,078.5727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over33c14,545$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,812.331,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c12,395$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,577.824,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over41c8,436$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,954.032,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under49c6,206$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over32c6,010$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.85754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over49c5,104$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.043030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c4,637$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.71,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over74c3,800$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9883464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under63c2,627$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.874748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf816…3578backed Over36c2,422$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over68c2,373$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.2951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over35c2,130$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f81…5394backed Over36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over37c1,952$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.38492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over33c1,800$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under65c1,693$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over67c1,419$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.461,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under23c1,352$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over63c1,300$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.171450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.0424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,036$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over18c961$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.027429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Under3c899.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5200%0 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Over35c831.61$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under66c681.82$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over79c678.01$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3815060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under66c657.35$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.857657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39629427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over35c530$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.510956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fe…3db2backed Over36c476.62$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over32c458.73$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under64c443.97$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1421548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…0f89backed Under51c437.33$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over38c433.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6113249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over52c420.17$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6829343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under64c407$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under34c362.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.336636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under67c351$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.171,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Under5c311.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under28c310.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5329041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c301.44$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under65c300.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under64c290$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.613760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over36c273.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.771,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over61c240$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Under36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over54c204.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over55c201.82$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8216731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Over35c199.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c8…8538backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over34c180.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.996350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over34c173.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under65c165$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.253844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under28c158.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8613149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under66c135$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.16269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Over76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.116334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1116955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over57c106.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7124158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under65c106.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over35c101.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.371,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under26c100.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0911420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0c…f470backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4760%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cd…701fbacked Under65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Over36c93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.962626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5914351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe673…5c88backed Under65c92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over75c88.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.143762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over61c81.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.964233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over42c80.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.484847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Over69c75.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.479541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over55c73.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.097731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2124…d01abacked Over79c63.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.