Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae3a4dc0e0d13815c082c6524b57f77dd1b97ac27e6d39ba0c7b4f6676b6c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 67c | 127,133$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 32,141$10,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,432.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 34c | 28,086$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,536.46 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 37c | 17,579$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,078.57 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 33c | 14,545$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.33 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 12,395$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,577.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 8,436$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 49c | 6,206$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 32c | 6,010$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 49c | 5,104$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.04 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 4,637$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.7 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 74c | 3,800$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 63c | 2,627$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…3578backed Over | 36c | 2,422$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 68c | 2,373$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.29 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 2,130$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.4 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…5394backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Over | 37c | 1,952$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 1,900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Under | 65c | 1,693$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 67c | 1,419$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 23c | 1,352$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.04 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,036$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 18c | 961$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.02 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 3c | 899.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Over | 35c | 831.61$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 79c | 678.01$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 66c | 657.35$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 35c | 530$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…3db2backed Over | 36c | 476.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 32c | 458.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.94 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 64c | 443.97$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…0f89backed Under | 51c | 437.33$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 38c | 433.78$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 52c | 420.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 64c | 407$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 34c | 362.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 67c | 351$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 5c | 311.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 28c | 310.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 301.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 65c | 300.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 36c | 273.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Under | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 54c | 204.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 201.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Over | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 34c | 180.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 34c | 173.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 65c | 165$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 28c | 158.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 66c | 135$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Over | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 106.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 65c | 106.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 101.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 26c | 100.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Under | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 36c | 93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…5c88backed Under | 65c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 75c | 88.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 42c | 80.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Over | 69c | 75.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 55c | 73.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d01abacked Over | 79c | 63.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.