Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053fb4945f5fa7bc6a9727e2b8e3f9c51f46f6dca6bd20c9f57497e8ab47e2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 49c | 35,471$17,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,557.7 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 26,511$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598.48 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 69c | 21,626$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 71c | 17,799$12,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.7 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 30c | 12,542$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.58 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 31c | 12,289$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 71c | 12,141$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 32c | 10,392$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 8,662$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 29c | 7,563$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.59 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 5,604$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,075$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 68c | 4,595$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked No | 27c | 4,551$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 70c | 4,363$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.81 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 28c | 4,258$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 65c | 3,401$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 27c | 3,324$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.26 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…b4b5backed Yes | 75c | 3,227$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 32c | 3,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 69c | 3,040$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 71c | 2,588$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.52 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 73c | 2,198$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.81 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 30c | 2,033$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 71c | 2,030$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 2,028$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.65 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 1,814$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 76c | 1,804$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 72c | 1,776$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.89 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 31c | 1,708$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 1,587$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 22c | 1,565$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yes | 50c | 1,555$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 73c | 1,476$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.24 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 72c | 1,446$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.83 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 55c | 1,266$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Yes | 69c | 1,191$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 67c | 1,168$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…4803backed Yes | 70c | 1,160$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Yes | 68c | 1,150$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 69c | 1,084$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,083$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 29c | 884.64$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 74c | 837.16$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 30c | 789.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.95 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 26c | 773.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Yes | 70c | 769.7$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…e36ebacked No | 30c | 756.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 69c | 747.89$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 29c | 708.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 71c | 700.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…5d82backed No | 35c | 682.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 33c | 667.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 649.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 27c | 626.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 11c | 599.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 22c | 599.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 62c | 596.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 584.52$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 72c | 562.11$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 72c | 555.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 29c | 552.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…96b7backed Yes | 70c | 537.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 57c | 510.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 72c | 471.65$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 75c | 466.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 66c | 455.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 63c | 444.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 22c | 434.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…75d7backed Yes | 68c | 419.12$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 72c | 416.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 75c | 390.32$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 375.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…9161backed Yes | 69c | 360.22$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 38c | 355.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 37c | 350$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e9c9backed Yes | 68c | 343.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 48c | 314.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…d34abacked Yes | 71c | 305.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 300.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…699bbacked No | 44c | 294.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 32c | 281.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 67c | 272.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes | 76c | 263.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2025-12-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.