TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islamabad Unitedof Islamabad United, Quetta Gladiators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Quetta Gladiators33c5,796$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.7122552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd91…0816backed Quetta Gladiators22c4,281$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…2381backed Quetta Gladiators44c3,721$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.4512122.3%27 W · 94 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Islamabad United44c3,429$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.3913151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Quetta Gladiators58c3,167$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.6610863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe0…5d27backed Islamabad United65c3,038$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b88…b89abacked Quetta Gladiators58c2,527$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.783262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Quetta Gladiators21c2,182$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7531027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Quetta Gladiators27c2,098$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.8829631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Quetta Gladiators54c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.999128.6%26 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Islamabad United45c1,825$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.0728749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Quetta Gladiators53c1,668$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.4210953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Islamabad United45c1,365$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.7332846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Islamabad United63c1,356$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6914652.7%77 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Islamabad United60c1,299$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8114852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Quetta Gladiators40c1,229$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3164143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Islamabad United47c1,206$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.024839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Quetta Gladiators42c1,128$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7633042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Quetta Gladiators3c991.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7518923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked Islamabad United46c950.52$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1311058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Quetta Gladiators43c907.03$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.375933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Islamabad United45c881.25$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0650547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Quetta Gladiators52c804.96$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.651625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Islamabad United39c803.1$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48963646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Quetta Gladiators42c727.72$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Islamabad United51c721.27$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3717155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bff…db38backed Islamabad United47c718.96$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.431741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Quetta Gladiators44c688.19$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9310945%49 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…649dbacked Quetta Gladiators54c598.67$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.432339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Islamabad United46c586.26$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3619265.6%126 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Quetta Gladiators49c577.55$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.895637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Islamabad United53c564.13$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.56757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Quetta Gladiators33c562.12$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.48128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-83.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a45…723fbacked Quetta Gladiators6c536.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.366219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked Islamabad United45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Islamabad United44c442.59$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3620342.4%86 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Quetta Gladiators38c430.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7276351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…104dbacked Islamabad United51c426.21$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.791275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x231a…08b8backed Quetta Gladiators23c424.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.583948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Islamabad United76c417.42$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.626768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Quetta Gladiators55c416.26$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8715650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1971…acd7backed Islamabad United76c409.03$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0212656.3%71 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Quetta Gladiators44c405.89$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Quetta Gladiators37c399.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5865451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Quetta Gladiators50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Quetta Gladiators50c387.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3232337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Quetta Gladiators40c316.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3613144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Islamabad United57c315.42$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.573237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Quetta Gladiators54c296.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.894637%17 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Islamabad United50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.522241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Quetta Gladiators53c287.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2513040.8%53 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Quetta Gladiators42c281.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Islamabad United50c230.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0115335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Quetta Gladiators53c223.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.319740.2%39 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4f…c83fbacked Islamabad United46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.594639.1%18 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+66.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Islamabad United47c206.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5411122.5%25 W · 86 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Islamabad United48c200.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2837848.1%182 W · 196 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Quetta Gladiators49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…b2efbacked Islamabad United45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6353…cfcbbacked Quetta Gladiators54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Quetta Gladiators48c199.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9814431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Quetta Gladiators51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0619956.3%112 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…de7cbacked Quetta Gladiators41c187.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.171921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbfb…3ac1backed Islamabad United54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Quetta Gladiators55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Quetta Gladiators55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb6…7fb1backed Islamabad United57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.492437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Quetta Gladiators37c167$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.577149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed Islamabad United46c166.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.99956.6%56 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Quetta Gladiators35c162.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd71…4598backed Quetta Gladiators55c142.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…32fcbacked Quetta Gladiators48c138.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.487032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc07…502abacked Quetta Gladiators62c132.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.082948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Quetta Gladiators60c131.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6612842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Quetta Gladiators56c130.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0122647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28fc…f0bbbacked Quetta Gladiators10c125.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Quetta Gladiators40c120.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2612948.8%63 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27e7…643fbacked Quetta Gladiators55c110.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.586864.7%44 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798d…ef2cbacked Quetta Gladiators31c109.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9100%0 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab45…fee3backed Islamabad United55c100.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Quetta Gladiators51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x898e…31c4backed Quetta Gladiators25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256025%15 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Quetta Gladiators37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2514852.7%78 W · 70 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed Islamabad United59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked Islamabad United59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4690…94fbbacked Islamabad United59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115151.7%78 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea26…5bf3backed Quetta Gladiators54c99.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.483630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Islamabad United51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.635925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Quetta Gladiators14c93.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4418419.6%36 W · 148 L-25.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-63.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed Quetta Gladiators31c92.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7621035.7%75 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799a…f4d0backed Quetta Gladiators42c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4911342.5%48 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Quetta Gladiators64c82.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8922843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Quetta Gladiators54c78.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad20…3b73backed Quetta Gladiators23c74.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2517.8%4 W · 47 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd28e…393ebacked Islamabad United42c71.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.322646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f3…9afbbacked Quetta Gladiators41c70.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Islamabad United42c70.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Quetta Gladiators53c68.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5519041.6%79 W · 111 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Quetta Gladiators39c68.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5541947.5%199 W · 220 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ede…0a84backed Quetta Gladiators53c68.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.