Movies · resolved market
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1d896dedf8c03409f60be784ee7637b1a1c1e3a5043d84a52a5161a99cafd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 11c | 5,335$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 37c | 4,377$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.93 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 4,062$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 20c | 3,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 34c | 2,619$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.58 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 77c | 1,790$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.94 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,633$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.42 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,553$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 47c | 1,462$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,452$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,197$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 12c | 988$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 12c | 953$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Yes | 12c | 945$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 5c | 865.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 842.15$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 49c | 820.17$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 20c | 741.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 14c | 696.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 2c | 690.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 53c | 615$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 56c | 597.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 10c | 579.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 36c | 579.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 35c | 576.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 53c | 575$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 53c | 568$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 9c | 566.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 496.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 32c | 476.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 432.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 419.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 38c | 390.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed No | 50c | 379.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 10c | 370.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 359.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 71c | 320.37$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 311.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 266 | 6.4%17 W · 249 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 21c | 302.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…75d8backed Yes | 49c | 299.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 267$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 12c | 241.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…e32abacked Yes | 22c | 223.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 217$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 50c | 206.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 12c | 196.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 7c | 178.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 36c | 169.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 28c | 156.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Yes | 17c | 141.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 26c | 136.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 134.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes | 54c | 134.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 23c | 132.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…9a6dbacked Yes | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…495abacked Yes | 56c | 121$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0f0dbacked Yes | 23c | 119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026f…3cfcbacked Yes | 23c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 45c | 110.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 53c | 109.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…ba5abacked Yes | 24c | 101.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…abfbbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 55c | 87.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 78.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 64c | 77.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…4cc4backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 36c | 70.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 50c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 23c | 57.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 54.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…3d54backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 67c | 50.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 62c | 50.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…fe61backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 61c | 49.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…a119backed No | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 58c | 44.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee8…f6babacked No | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ab4dbacked No | 37c | 42.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 36.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 51c | 32.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…ae08backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…5f4cbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…56a9backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…03e5backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…27edbacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?this page
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.