Movies · resolved market
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d334c123a5b164c0a45a44d68aa835bda88acfc3d9e164c1e9dfdc19a90db41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 74c | 7,724$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.06 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 72c | 6,039$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.96 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 77c | 5,028$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.3 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,210$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.91 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 78c | 4,181$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.67 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 1,684$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,662$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.57 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…4fc7backed No | 43c | 1,472$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…9a62backed Yes | 57c | 1,472$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 34c | 1,180$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.67 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 30c | 1,141$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…c82fbacked No | 14c | 1,031$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes | 73c | 920.35$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 65c | 844.99$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…b9c1backed No | 50c | 815.08$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…f8edbacked Yes | 50c | 815.08$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 44c | 748.24$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 27c | 671$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 18c | 617$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 52c | 609.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed No | 18c | 609$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 18c | 607$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 25c | 595.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 71c | 549.95$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 523$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked Yes | 38c | 505.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 57c | 493.77$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 469.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 16c | 465.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 450.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 20c | 443.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 18c | 439.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 40c | 435.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 41c | 431$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 59c | 416.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 386.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 58c | 376.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…e4d5backed Yes | 48c | 340.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 15c | 324.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed No | 20c | 276.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 75c | 263.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 48c | 247.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 19c | 238.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 29c | 224.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked No | 51c | 224.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed No | 7c | 220.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 219.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…726dbacked No | 40c | 167.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 155.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 77c | 153.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 23c | 128.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed No | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 31c | 119.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6a…151fbacked No | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…643fbacked No | 29c | 104.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 27c | 104.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…ef84backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed No | 60c | 98.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…7a6bbacked Yes | 52c | 81.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 50c | 80.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked No | 56c | 79.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed No | 17c | 73.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 59c | 71.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 68.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 51c | 67.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked No | 32c | 61.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 48c | 61.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 42c | 60.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 51c | 59.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked No | 52c | 59.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 55c | 56.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 52c | 53.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 68c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Yes | 72c | 49.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…5abebacked Yes | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…7fbebacked Yes | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…adbabacked Yes | 78c | 40.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c156backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b7b4backed No | 39c | 38.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…7ababacked Yes | 80c | 37.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f53cbacked Yes | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 65c | 34.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 43c | 33.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?this page
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.