Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe76aa7d0c36ca7cffef1727d3f339e21c56aecbf7b6bdf21d9f185ac163e3c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,018$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…5ca6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 4c | 1,979$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,556$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,469$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 5c | 1,036$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 5c | 949.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 5c | 915.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 28c | 722.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 3c | 544.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 8c | 501.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…63d8backed Yes | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…8360backed Yes | 4c | 493.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…6faebacked Yes | 3c | 491.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…98aabacked Yes | 7c | 483.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e8…8513backed Yes | 5c | 482.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 15c | 403.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bf…c756backed Yes | 6c | 393.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…569ebacked Yes | 3c | 376.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a1e8backed Yes | 4c | 283.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 5c | 247.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 14c | 234.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 70c | 224.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 223.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 5c | 222.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 74c | 217.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…68f9backed Yes | 5c | 210.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…791dbacked Yes | 5c | 199.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…20cdbacked Yes | 12c | 194.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed Yes | 18c | 183.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 178$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 78c | 171$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…9449backed Yes | 15c | 164.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Yes | 26c | 155.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 136.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed No | 73c | 127.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 117.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 14c | 107.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 79c | 107.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…12c2backed Yes | 29c | 96.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…8981backed Yes | 28c | 96.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 38c | 78.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…cef7backed Yes | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 27c | 75.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…c2fcbacked Yes | 29c | 73.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 14c | 73.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…1db0backed Yes | 19c | 62.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…f573backed Yes | 27c | 61.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…315fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…7014backed Yes | 31c | 48.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e2c2backed Yes | 47c | 45.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…ec06backed No | 69c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3023…465cbacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…0e6ebacked Yes | 30c | 40.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…9764backed Yes | 28c | 40.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 32c | 38.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…ae87backed Yes | 40c | 37.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 66c | 37.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…9dc6backed Yes | 29c | 37.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…18e8backed Yes | 29c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 35.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 74c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…5741backed Yes | 36c | 31.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 73c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 70c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 52c | 25.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…9999backed No | 73c | 24.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 64c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…52c4backed No | 71c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.