AI · resolved market
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x343a37a24e973a5d4129148b2c0571629163cdfda317289aa3bba971c0fb3098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 73c | 2,241$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.31 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 65c | 2,010$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed Yes | 17c | 1,686$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,358$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 35c | 701$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 35c | 665$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 30c | 649.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 35c | 644$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 571.71$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…2947backed Yes | 65c | 548$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 37c | 479.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…8c10backed Yes | 23c | 437.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 67c | 328.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 45c | 230$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked Yes | 10c | 227.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 49c | 210.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 205.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 199.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…abcfbacked Yes | 26c | 194.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…d34ebacked Yes | 34c | 190.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…90dabacked No | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…d141backed Yes | 56c | 178.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 36c | 168.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 163.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 59c | 160.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 57c | 153.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…4213backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…3c58backed Yes | 40c | 148.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…40cebacked No | 38c | 142$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…6c3abacked No | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…fba9backed Yes | 64c | 130.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…04f3backed Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…63efbacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…c607backed Yes | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…6d1cbacked Yes | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…e9c5backed Yes | 28c | 108.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…6a5abacked Yes | 24c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…942cbacked Yes | 38c | 100.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 37c | 92.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Yes | 51c | 91.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 21c | 86.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 78.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…ae08backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…59d6backed Yes | 64c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…32a6backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 50c | 51.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…05ddbacked Yes | 57c | 51.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…d6d2backed Yes | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…2b7ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…5770backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…ad12backed Yes | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 69c | 46.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…3ba5backed Yes | 43c | 46.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…bc41backed Yes | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb86…3535backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…35b2backed Yes | 27c | 42.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd808…b3acbacked Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…ae7cbacked Yes | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe778…12ffbacked No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 41.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…0066backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…2d98backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…0788backed Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9574backed Yes | 49c | 38.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…4497backed No | 74c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…03e5backed No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…9870backed Yes | 43c | 35.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 32.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 55c | 32.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90c…2be7backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…405cbacked Yes | 65c | 29.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…38eebacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed No | 79c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…cdddbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…9944backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 55c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…0c66backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…5b37backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…da8abacked Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…6dcabacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…2eb8backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…3a31backed Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…c0ecbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…8948backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?this page
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.