AI · resolved market
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8d3707cbd1037f88e8409c8d0339e0a6456cab3420901e5ce5fbe6ad13ea34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 3,666$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 67c | 3,433$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.78 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Yes | 67c | 2,529$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…8c10backed No | 21c | 1,183$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 33c | 886$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 34c | 864.23$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 33c | 855$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed No | 9c | 818.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 33c | 808$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…fba9backed Yes | 42c | 535.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 59c | 490.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked No | 33c | 453$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 50c | 431.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 62c | 420$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 53c | 340.17$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 266.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 252.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed Yes | 66c | 229$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…38d3backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Yes | 67c | 199$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 57c | 159.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…d5e5backed No | 30c | 135.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 43c | 135.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…1b4cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…a6d4backed Yes | 35c | 126$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…628ebacked Yes | 80c | 125.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…86e3backed Yes | 76c | 120.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…3c58backed Yes | 69c | 116.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…cf22backed Yes | 35c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 108.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb513…f628backed Yes | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 35c | 80.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 78.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…445fbacked Yes | 63c | 69.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…942cbacked Yes | 74c | 60.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…e9ddbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 55.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…5b27backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…a75dbacked No | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 47c | 37.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…e396backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…f1c2backed Yes | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…fafabacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 38c | 33.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…57cbbacked No | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 47c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…f7eabacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…12e5backed Yes | 56c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 44c | 29.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…6664backed Yes | 55c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…50d1backed Yes | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…0205backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked Yes | 68c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…baeabacked Yes | 56c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…946cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5d04backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…2d98backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…0730backed Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 66c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…737dbacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…cb47backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…8ca9backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…bd2ebacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…da80backed Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?this page
- Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.