Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8b4f64ecc433b93a0ed558ab382bf167039e1c3e3333097486e5d43dabb6b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,861$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.86 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,168$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…c1c3backed No | 77c | 899.36$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…7b23backed Yes | 23c | 899.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…1236backed No | 72c | 762.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 26c | 731.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 672.9$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…670bbacked Yes | 23c | 632.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…661fbacked No | 77c | 632.22$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 75c | 342.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…4e6abacked No | 77c | 276.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…5f27backed Yes | 23c | 276.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 77c | 268.87$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 14c | 232.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 13c | 231.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 231.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 218.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 26c | 214.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…cd8bbacked Yes | 19c | 212.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 24c | 202.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 22c | 201.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 25c | 199.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 197.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 9c | 194.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…d5e9backed No | 77c | 174.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…467cbacked Yes | 23c | 174.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 16c | 167.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 24c | 147.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 25c | 141.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 139.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 128.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 18c | 123.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 78c | 118.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 10c | 111.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 27c | 97.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 93.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 91.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 34c | 77.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…a545backed Yes | 21c | 52.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 27c | 38.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…75a6backed Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 70c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked No | 71c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 80c | 17.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 77c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 69c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.