Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2094f5833eef66b81a398094a685d6d6f66aedf333448d288bb9597412d1d037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 16c | 1,109$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…35abbacked Yes | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…45aebacked No | 74c | 866.48$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…6178backed Yes | 26c | 866.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 33c | 862.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.86 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 62c | 697$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 13c | 590$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…faf2backed No | 73c | 577.86$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…7539backed Yes | 27c | 577.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 52c | 419.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 32c | 418.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…ff92backed Yes | 27c | 408.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…5272backed No | 73c | 408.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 26c | 372.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…883abacked Yes | 27c | 341.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…0b85backed No | 73c | 341.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 38c | 277.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…cd8bbacked Yes | 60c | 248.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 37c | 238.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 38c | 234.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 80c | 227.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 66c | 215.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Yes | 61c | 196.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 17c | 175.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 32c | 161.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 22c | 157.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…0fe7backed No | 55c | 154$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 145.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 34c | 139$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 138.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 65c | 135.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 128.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 53c | 117.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 57c | 112.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 112$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 51c | 103.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 74c | 100.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 100.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…7e88backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 79c | 99.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 49c | 95.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 46c | 93.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 32c | 89.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…badabacked Yes | 40c | 88.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 12c | 82.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 80.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 45c | 76.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…be69backed Yes | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…6e2ebacked No | 50c | 64.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe2…be37backed No | 41c | 61.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 74c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 51c | 54.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 58c | 47.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…29febacked Yes | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…fe90backed Yes | 78c | 42.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…94e1backed No | 44c | 38.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…c930backed Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 59c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…4d32backed Yes | 57c | 31.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…407dbacked No | 42c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…0b63backed Yes | 57c | 29.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 78c | 29.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…fe14backed Yes | 58c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…75a6backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…31e9backed No | 44c | 25.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…01b9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 21.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.