Movies · resolved market
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75d669ed6a786a32ba770bebea3e10a8bc54652d7d739a20f84d1c174eb6928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 27c | 6,700$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 79c | 4,760$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.62 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec6…5888backed Yes | 6c | 4,228$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Yes | 23c | 3,749$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 69c | 2,567$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.94 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 74c | 2,567$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.17 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,209$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed No | 78c | 2,163$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked No | 65c | 2,101$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 35c | 2,019$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.71 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 46c | 1,774$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5b0fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,595$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a56fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,409$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…2f3bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 21c | 1,248$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…f4e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,196$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,169$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked No | 37c | 1,093$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -6.8wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -58%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 38c | 1,044$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 79c | 997$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 896.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 881.71$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…442abacked Yes | 7c | 797.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…ff63backed Yes | 65c | 780.04$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 26c | 768.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 7c | 753.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9143…1d19backed Yes | 64c | 710.63$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…232cbacked Yes | 8c | 707.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 705.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed No | 55c | 669.48$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…b76bbacked Yes | 25c | 602.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 44c | 588.76$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 28c | 576.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 57c | 531.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 515.7$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…2a66backed Yes | 22c | 509.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…56d3backed Yes | 20c | 498.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223d…8ef3backed No | 78c | 486.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 50c | 483.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…fa65backed Yes | 11c | 469.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…7561backed Yes | 75c | 457.14$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 441.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed Yes | 9c | 393.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…13febacked Yes | 68c | 379.7$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…db9ebacked Yes | 34c | 370.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 11c | 362.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…19a1backed Yes | 8c | 324.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed Yes | 79c | 321$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 19c | 317.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 312.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…4a67backed Yes | 16c | 308.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…743cbacked Yes | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Yes | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…b6c5backed Yes | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…1effbacked Yes | 15c | 299.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…38f4backed Yes | 9c | 289.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 266.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…460abacked Yes | 8c | 265.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Yes | 54c | 262.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0db…0ecebacked Yes | 8c | 259.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…44f2backed Yes | 15c | 248.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes | 12c | 248.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…94e2backed Yes | 63c | 246.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…9032backed Yes | 5c | 244.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 46c | 232.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 8c | 229.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…0b41backed Yes | 13c | 223.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Yes | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…e578backed Yes | 8c | 202.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…06a2backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 42c | 193.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…9a50backed Yes | 7c | 188.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…4572backed Yes | 30c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 18c | 170.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 18c | 169$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 15c | 168.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…4bb8backed Yes | 7c | 163.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…9346backed Yes | 74c | 162.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…f2c5backed Yes | 46c | 157.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes | 34c | 154.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…109fbacked Yes | 20c | 153.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 48c | 149.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 34c | 145.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 14c | 144.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 9c | 141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…6040backed Yes | 72c | 139.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…c2f2backed Yes | 8c | 136.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…6155backed Yes | 9c | 135.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 54c | 134.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…c69cbacked Yes | 8c | 132.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 131.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…fc00backed Yes | 15c | 131.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1c8ebacked Yes | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…b5fcbacked Yes | 80c | 125.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…54ddbacked No | 64c | 121.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Nobody 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Saw: The Final Chapter" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "The Bad Guys 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.