MLB · resolved market
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97d95f15edfe56fd412a3e95929497903f16069964f63b7ced90172cd723d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yes | 75c | 33,884$25,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,264.37 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 45c | 24,227$10,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,904.43 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 62c | 13,630$8,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,482.04 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 44c | 9,945$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 17c | 9,109$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.96 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 38c | 7,268$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Yes | 39c | 4,617$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.58 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 63c | 4,096$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 54c | 3,774$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 31c | 3,577$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…2909backed No | 58c | 3,506$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…b29ebacked No | 48c | 3,333$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…20b4backed No | 48c | 3,204$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…5e00backed Yes | 53c | 3,199$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,114$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 48c | 3,008$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.88 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed No | 30c | 2,959$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 45c | 2,952$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.15 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 68c | 2,871$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…bb52backed Yes | 25c | 2,702$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…58eebacked Yes | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 13c | 2,430$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…ee7abacked Yes | 16c | 2,405$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 10c | 2,358$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes | 39c | 2,125$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 2,099$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…1364backed Yes | 48c | 2,043$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbfebacked Yes | 70c | 1,960$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,855$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…34f7backed No | 31c | 1,754$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 9c | 1,426$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…7b09backed Yes | 55c | 1,355$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 34c | 1,150$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,140$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…e8fbbacked No | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 26c | 1,061$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.92 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 56c | 937.97$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 33c | 857.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.72 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Yes | 32c | 833.32$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 63c | 829.32$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…9b1cbacked No | 31c | 799$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 41c | 759.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…d749backed No | 48c | 732$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 60c | 701.06$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.88 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 670.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…eb58backed Yes | 53c | 629$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…b81cbacked Yes | 69c | 626$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 52c | 619.49$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Yes | 53c | 617.72$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 24c | 582$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked Yes | 9c | 572.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 568.88$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 535.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…bf7fbacked Yes | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked No | 36c | 517.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 78c | 501.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.21 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…f8b9backed No | 45c | 494$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Yes | 46c | 493.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 492.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed No | 80c | 486.06$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…8cd3backed Yes | 57c | 457$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Yes | 15c | 425.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…ccd8backed No | 32c | 386$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 75c | 375.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b6…bc7dbacked Yes | 63c | 370$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 27c | 368.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 364.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…73c1backed Yes | 68c | 363$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked No | 35c | 354.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 43cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 74c | 308.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 8c | 306.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 27c | 278.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…f93cbacked Yes | 63c | 275$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…56acbacked No | 31c | 271$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…93ebbacked Yes | 68c | 266$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 65c | 261.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…d36abacked Yes | 16c | 254.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…97d1backed Yes | 53c | 251$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 76c | 232.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…a4d1backed No | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…df59backed No | 32c | 215$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…21e8backed Yes | 69c | 201$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…64cdbacked Yes | 67c | 189.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…72efbacked No | 36c | 184.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 174$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…8f94backed No | 31c | 171$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 49c | 164$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…257cbacked No | 44c | 163$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 64c | 157.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…377ebacked Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 78c | 148.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?this page
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.