Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae11e1f99d5daa6eeaf4ca86bbc108e4284cf34a0bb3c42b50c06948bb34b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 36c | 1,282$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 16c | 1,053$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 16c | 1,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 29c | 945.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 69c | 883$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 64c | 845$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 16c | 573$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 16c | 559$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 16c | 547$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 69c | 406$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 26c | 400.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 61c | 383.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 31c | 317$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Yes | 64c | 316.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 32c | 304.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 43c | 294.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 31c | 289$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 21c | 285$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed Yes | 31c | 277$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 64c | 264$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed No | 70c | 237.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 20c | 237.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 45c | 214.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…5cdebacked Yes | 15c | 211.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 208.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 36c | 200.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 18c | 190$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Yes | 64c | 173$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 17c | 140.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed Yes | 31c | 136$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…8f96backed Yes | 9c | 131.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 15c | 122.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 20c | 113.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 49c | 100.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 71c | 100.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…8b9abacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…9213backed Yes | 35c | 98.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 92.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…badabacked Yes | 35c | 86.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 25c | 85.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 85.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 47c | 83.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 31c | 82.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 43c | 82.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 75.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 68.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…1361backed Yes | 80c | 64.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 21c | 58.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 65c | 52.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 69c | 48.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 47.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 48c | 39.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 66c | 39.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 34.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 80c | 34.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…da50backed Yes | 68c | 31.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 58c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.