Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccba9877b84a2de58f64a9bd1f08bb722a7009612f928ce6ce65138a5b98cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,523 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 2c | 688.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 476.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…a7eabacked Yes | 15c | 404.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 320.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 320.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…5cdebacked Yes | 17c | 300.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 298.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 31c | 292.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 17c | 282.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes | 22c | 222$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 9c | 200.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 11c | 192.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…0cc8backed Yes | 27c | 188.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 28c | 149.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 141.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 116.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 19c | 114.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 22c | 105.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 100.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 88.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 76c | 67.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 61.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…f310backed Yes | 27c | 58.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 51.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 75c | 47.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 42c | 45.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 40c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…b9cabacked Yes | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.