TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Over44c15,903$6,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,926.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under59c15,000$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c13,864$5,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,041.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under56c10,712$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.698047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c7,423$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,246.5837959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over42c7,307$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.7410556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5409645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c5,204$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c4,748$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.6759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Under58c4,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under59c3,882$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over41c3,371$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.738348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over42c3,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.3310849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over43c2,956$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.8113857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under23c2,423$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.852,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over40c2,397$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.757757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c2,230$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9912556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.839647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under57c1,703$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.42,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under60c1,670$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,646$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under53c1,622$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.71,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under54c1,436$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Under61c1,389$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8508647.7%41 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c1,369$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.182,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under59c1,365$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Under53c1,364$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.1310932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d4f…2605backed Under56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over41c1,281$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.8161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over51c1,273$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6741968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under56c1,112$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.7614839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under55c1,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.642536%9 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-43.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Over41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under61c975.67$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over42c942.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.3546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c930.06$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c921$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.822,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under56c892.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Under56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017149.7%85 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Under54c892.27$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.832429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Under58c861.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under41c846.88$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over42c839.27$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.511,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over43c830.15$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1916357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under58c825.2$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4710359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under55c705.79$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6217735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Over46c701.83$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.992250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c694.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under54c628.52$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.567445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcde…5fa7backed Under58c598.84$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over74c595.32$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.021,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a6…6520backed Under56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.47035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over48c517.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1822846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a87…2500backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28522835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over48c499.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over43c496.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Under61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0aaf…d41abacked Under57c482.23$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.874047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under54c434$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2765737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c427.34$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c420.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.651,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6711335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c401.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over43c370.38$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb983…20e6backed Over42c344.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.412934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…d696backed Over47c324.66$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.471838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Under60c299.97$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.486648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under58c279.68$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over45c223.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4120841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.137237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9bf5backed Under59c202.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10717757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.997742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.610250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008651.2%44 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…46cdbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c175.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3725857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over41c174.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.141,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under57c169.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8631149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Over40c163.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.076264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over44c114.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3424246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.