TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Haiti (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Haiti, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Haiti1c23,788$309 inLost-$308.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti2c23,654$469 inLost-$469.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Haiti1c10,312$113 inLost-$113.4471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Haiti5c7,915$392 inLost-$391.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Haiti4c5,200$208 inLost-$207.810836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Haiti5c3,607$191 inLost-$190.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Haiti6c2,880$182 inLost-$181.8238960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Haiti1c2,661$40 inLost-$39.8932422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Haiti6c2,500$150 inLost-$15027466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Haiti4c2,425$97 inLost-$96.993823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Haiti8c2,252$181 inLost-$181.414425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Haiti1c2,189$33 inLost-$32.6860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Haiti2c1,979$42 inLost-$42.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Haiti4c1,265$50 inLost-$50.387431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Haiti4c1,260$50 inLost-$50.383727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Haiti8c1,251$100 inLost-$100.138437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Haiti5c1,132$60 inLost-$59.996043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Haiti2c952.38$20 inLost-$2017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Haiti2c708.98$14 inLost-$13.995616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Haiti5c668.19$34 inLost-$33.772,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49a…c2f7backed Haiti2c640.32$11 inLost-$11.42429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Haiti4c354.4$13 inLost-$12.5951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Haiti3c330$11 inLost-$10.621,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2458…9062backed Haiti6c293.33$18 inLost-$17.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Haiti4c279.41$11 inLost-$10.67634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Haiti4c260$10 inLost-$10.41850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Haiti4c251.25$10 inLost-$10.055731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Haiti5c251$13 inLost-$13.3859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Haiti5c239.84$11 inLost-$11.0143230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Haiti5c237.75$12 inLost-$123067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.