TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Morocco (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Haitiof Morocco, Haiti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Morocco18c30,760$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Morocco19c25,251$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.022,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Haiti79c20,000$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Morocco18c17,160$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.711,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Morocco20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Morocco20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Morocco15c10,143$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.3826320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cb…4fd8backed Morocco5c9,099$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.034134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Morocco21c7,194$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Morocco20c5,473$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2152744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Haiti79c5,362$4,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.16953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Haiti78c5,323$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Morocco14c4,576$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.9136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Haiti79c3,848$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.0870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10b…8ec6backed Morocco14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Morocco21c3,373$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4338026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Morocco16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.999823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Morocco21c2,764$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.434626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Morocco21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Morocco21c2,380$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.85832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Morocco22c2,066$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Morocco20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Morocco21c1,861$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7343139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Haiti79c1,680$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Morocco11c1,634$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Morocco21c1,434$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Morocco21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Morocco22c1,311$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Morocco20c1,280$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.311,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Morocco20c1,269$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.873,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Morocco19c1,202$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Haiti79c1,111$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.314348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Morocco17c1,090$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3613731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Morocco19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Morocco21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f3…be32backed Morocco21c925.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e72…5c72backed Morocco12c880.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Morocco20c857.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.727321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Morocco4c801.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.063026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9883…859abacked Haiti80c799.46$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.892365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Morocco19c767.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7269534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Morocco20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Morocco19c650.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.512,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Haiti80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Haiti80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12510234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Morocco17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Morocco17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Haiti79c581.71$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1616758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Morocco12c579.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Haiti79c561.02$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c0…a68dbacked Morocco18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006648.5%32 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Morocco19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Morocco16c479.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6521429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Morocco21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Morocco15c470.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1838437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…36debacked Morocco21c402.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4412236.1%44 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Morocco19c362$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7215235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Morocco21c357.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Morocco18c311.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Haiti79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6332046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Morocco20c299.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188a…adfebacked Morocco21c299.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.828134.6%28 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c95…01c4backed Morocco21c291.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2210427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c37…d887backed Morocco21c291.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2110427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Morocco21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Morocco21c285.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Morocco21c285.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8710527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Morocco21c285$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8510527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Morocco11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Morocco21c271.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9713428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Morocco21c270.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8813428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Morocco21c270.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.813528.1%38 W · 97 L-15.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Morocco21c270.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7913428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Morocco21c268.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3513428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Morocco19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Haiti80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Morocco21c245.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5513130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Morocco21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Morocco21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508121%17 W · 64 L-11.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b4b…dd99backed Morocco21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503721.6%8 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Morocco21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Morocco21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Morocco21c232$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7210133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Morocco22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Morocco16c223.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7334844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Morocco21c206.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Morocco21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4233847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…c13dbacked Morocco22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Morocco10c175.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Morocco9c174$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5413638.2%52 W · 84 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe114…cd4fbacked Morocco20c172.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.