Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bfad35d608d11480e3035e33fc3c8e80e1b724d9f8671a46332e166f575e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,575$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 1,360$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 74c | 1,273$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 1,190$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Over | 72c | 875$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.43 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Under | 24c | 831.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 715$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 23c | 654.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 72c | 639.6$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…c4a9backed Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 71c | 390$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 23c | 355$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…91d9backed Over | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 235.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…fa2bbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Under | 31c | 173.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…e665backed Over | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 27c | 166$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Under | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 73c | 154.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…8e38backed Under | 32c | 151.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 73c | 148.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…e9bebacked Under | 32c | 147.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…e8babacked Under | 32c | 142.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 22c | 101.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 76c | 79.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…1092backed Over | 77c | 65.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Under | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Over | 78c | 32.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 76c | 27.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…c092backed Over | 78c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.