TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Morocco (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Haitiof Morocco, Haiti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb272…5030backed Morocco8c30,000$2,400 inLost-$2,40021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Morocco10c25,000$2,500 inLost-$2,50010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Morocco10c2,400$240 inLost-$2403633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Morocco10c2,000$200 inLost-$20016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Morocco9c2,000$180 inLost-$179.9710518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Morocco11c1,785$196 inLost-$195.7112428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Morocco11c1,356$149 inLost-$149.1615418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Morocco9c1,111$100 inLost-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Morocco10c1,100$110 inLost-$1105824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Morocco9c1,100$99 inLost-$992814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Morocco11c857.99$94 inLost-$93.827321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Morocco8c700$56 inLost-$5647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Morocco9c500$45 inLost-$457445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Morocco12c416.67$50 inLost-$5012025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Morocco10c362$36 inLost-$36.3415235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Morocco11c360.08$40 inLost-$4060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Morocco9c310.65$28 inLost-$27.9611745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c0…a68dbacked Morocco9c279.78$25 inLost-$25.186648.5%32 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Morocco9c277.78$25 inLost-$253721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Morocco13c234.72$30 inLost-$30.0410133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Morocco12c207.69$25 inLost-$259237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Morocco10c200$20 inLost-$209328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Morocco10c200$20 inLost-$201,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Morocco10c200$20 inLost-$2029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Morocco10c200$20 inLost-$2015225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Morocco11c181.82$20 inLost-$2019450.5%98 W · 96 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x874a…b381backed Morocco11c181.82$20 inLost-$205819%11 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Morocco12c172.83$20 inLost-$2026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Morocco11c143.37$16 inLost-$15.771,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Morocco10c137.85$14 inLost-$13.881,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Morocco12c125$15 inLost-$157412.2%9 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Morocco10c100$10 inLost-$1020138.3%77 W · 124 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.