Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87082c964bf0a9cf40688b3b97f072db0708b0520e4cae29feab0a79ce72a12e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $164,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,489 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under	74c	17,082$12,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,661.07	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over	31c	16,167$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,167.09	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	15c	15,151$2,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,806.35	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	11,170$8,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,320.65	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	25c	4,540$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,405.27	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	60c	4,080$2,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.48	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	73c	2,605$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.48	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	80c	1,954$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.05	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	18c	1,709$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.34	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	28c	1,633$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.24	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	22c	1,598$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.6	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	19c	1,500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	16c	1,242$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.32	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+115.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	29c	1,145$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.58	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under	11c	1,100$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+12.6wins	+0.25per pick	14cpaid	+138.3%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	15c	1,047$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.45	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under	9c	909.09$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.82	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over	30c	833.33$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.33	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	70c	714.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under	11c	700$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+12.4wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	17c	669.62$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.65	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	29c	589.28$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.39	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	18c	505.81$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	72c	419.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.71	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Over	18c	400$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328	70	30%21 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Under	8c	356.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	9cpaid	+506.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	26c	307.33$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.22	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	27c	284$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.12	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over	18c	273$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.86	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	80c	247.25$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.11	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	36c	233$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.29	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over	23c	220.22$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.22	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	52c	194.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	20c	178.65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.67	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over	30c	176$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.2	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Under	79c	139.84$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb219…526cbacked Over	18c	138.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.49per pick	31cpaid	+211.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2613…08e3backed Over	18c	138.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over	19c	136.84$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.84	72	19.4%14 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over	26c	119.96$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.96	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under	80c	119$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	29c	117.86$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.68	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over	25c	117$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.75	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over	23c	107.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.58	92	37%34 W · 58 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	23c	104.35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.35	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	24c	98.93$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.29	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over	28c	89.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.28	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	23c	78.14$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.4	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211b…79d2backed Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	71c	60.28$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Under	72c	58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.76	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	23c	55.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.98	134	47.8%64 W · 70 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	64c	52.22$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373f…36fcbacked Over	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under	73c	41.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	77	66.2%51 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	66c	40.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under	76c	32.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	-7.4wins	-0.11per pick	72cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x943e…37f5backed Under	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	62c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…189bbacked Under	78c	16.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Haiti won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Haiti won
Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Haiti won
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Haiti won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event