Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cee6d9af90a56268499e479e9dd663665de1032575eafaa96e412ffdd23832a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 33c | 2,134$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.42 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 51c | 613.53$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 51c | 566.06$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 67c | 549$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.42 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 513.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 68c | 510$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 65c | 460.85$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 48c | 442.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 428.03$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 322.88$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…c21fbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 284.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 32c | 219.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Over | 37c | 217.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 31c | 192.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Over | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 40c | 150.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 53c | 129.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 112.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 48c | 94.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 87.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 39c | 83.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Under | 42c | 83.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 64.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 43c | 60.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 32c | 41.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 50c | 41.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 39.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…d22fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.