TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof Natus Vincere, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed GIANTX55c31,085$17,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,903.8921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere46c24,608$11,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,319.7990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere53c11,248$5,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,954.72,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX51c8,566$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.971,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed GIANTX57c7,608$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.574953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere44c7,278$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.8542840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked GIANTX47c6,869$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.881,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere47c5,893$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.7241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere51c5,361$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7541,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Natus Vincere52c5,234$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.547735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere50c5,162$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.031,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere43c5,088$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.741,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere39c4,517$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.061,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed GIANTX61c4,427$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.681,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed GIANTX51c4,122$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.639852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere49c4,091$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.7299338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Natus Vincere43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Natus Vincere43c3,633$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.3814753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked GIANTX64c3,229$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.841,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere51c3,111$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.5325923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere47c3,015$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.0222234.7%77 W · 145 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed GIANTX57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.997346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed GIANTX55c3,000$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.9421857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere46c2,952$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.4626940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere45c2,900$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3051,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed GIANTX53c2,898$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.6131644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere43c2,734$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.6667931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere47c2,647$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.791,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed GIANTX56c2,500$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9844047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked GIANTX55c2,166$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.3211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed Natus Vincere3c2,100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked GIANTX47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06021740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed GIANTX57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86026246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked GIANTX45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1003461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Natus Vincere11c1,639$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.99035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Natus Vincere46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70043151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed GIANTX70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed GIANTX62c1,485$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5848157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4963161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere25c1,196$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.191,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed GIANTX56c1,170$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2244843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…c3f9backed GIANTX52c1,110$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.311450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+107.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed GIANTX57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.638252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked GIANTX61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39023751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed GIANTX63c1,000$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6326942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Natus Vincere45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45048035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed GIANTX56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed GIANTX55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed GIANTX55c999.71$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7941644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed GIANTX47c994.05$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.851,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Natus Vincere43c993$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.997763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed GIANTX52c956.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0928843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Natus Vincere44c910$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.448143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed GIANTX74c896.14$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1436260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Natus Vincere46c890.63$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6924436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Natus Vincere43c881.21$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3613136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Natus Vincere39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31215147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed GIANTX65c706.7$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.733369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Natus Vincere44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere45c699.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Natus Vincere15c690$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5618914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked GIANTX58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6628150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed GIANTX73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Natus Vincere8c673.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0528923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Natus Vincere47c666.96$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Natus Vincere10c649.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310325.2%26 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked GIANTX52c582.54$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere36c536.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.261,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed GIANTX56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7182554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed GIANTX57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed GIANTX63c523.08$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9457947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Natus Vincere44c499.89$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9517633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere45c493.33$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22243640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked GIANTX53c492.13$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7925639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f2…e9dabacked GIANTX75c476.67$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1710456.7%59 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed GIANTX50c474.51$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4550845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Natus Vincere27c444.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Natus Vincere45c444.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed GIANTX45c439.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9956650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere37c439.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8669756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere43c433.92$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.361,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed GIANTX58c427.59$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked GIANTX63c422.49$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.41,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Natus Vincere46c414.78$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.772326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Natus Vincere45c414.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.341963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked GIANTX70c411$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6116540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Natus Vincere45c410.3$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked GIANTX49c409.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.714751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere27c406.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.836943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Natus Vincere45c401.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5213239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed GIANTX65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14027455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Natus Vincere43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17223932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.